
These replication files provide all data and code to reproduce the findings of the article "Is it Possible to Predict Electoral Abstention on the Individual Level? A Preregistered Test on Forecasting the Effects of Abolishing Compulsory Voting in Belgium" published in the International Journal of Forecasting.
The replication files were created on 15 April 2025 by Dieter Stiers (dieter.stiers@kuleuven.be).

The replication files consist of four data files and two code files:
*Data files:
-Replication_prediction_Model_A: Replicates the predictions of Model A
-Replication_prediction_Model_B: Replicates the predictions of Model A
-Replication_analysis_Model_A: Replicates the analyses of the accuracy of the prediction of Model A
-Replication_analysis_Model_B: Replicates the analyses of the accuracy of the prediction of Model B

*Coded files
-Replication_prediction: Replicates the predictions of Model A and Model B
-Replication_analyses: Replicates the analyses of the accuracy of the prediction of Model A and Model B

The files consist of .dta data files and .do code files, which can be openened in Stata. The analyses for the paper were conducted in Stata version 16.1.
No additional packages are required to run the code. Running the code on a standard laptop or PC should not take more than some minutes.
